Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 30.719001 33.748961 37.184699 41.424912 46.599523 52.825506 61.076611
2025-10-05 27.638093 31.787666 36.920606 43.958860 53.766336 67.708241 90.834007
2025-10-12 24.899884 29.337545 35.092655 43.482497 56.197596 76.537591 117.203693
2025-10-19 23.239973 27.917659 34.224048 43.914032 59.770487 88.312930 159.292162
2025-10-26 22.249225 27.208018 34.140825 45.354446 65.221895 106.133226 243.930065
2025-11-02 21.119901 26.157119 33.387360 45.541209 68.472990 121.561351 372.233320
2025-11-09 19.745555 24.624887 31.730760 43.937791 67.834512 127.388277 495.505650
2025-11-16 18.555490 23.264934 30.201196 42.323066 66.772277 131.656510 665.166843
2025-11-23 18.055726 22.869217 30.113276 43.203773 71.245639 156.562986 2082.140582
2025-11-30 17.406273 22.200047 29.522574 43.070848 73.404463 176.435391 328778.264889
2025-12-07 16.741586 21.463814 28.758674 42.502795 74.370588 193.305923 NaN
2025-12-14 15.859575 20.351242 27.303420 40.443307 71.099070 187.516366 NaN
2025-12-21 15.168192 19.604182 26.578283 40.102408 73.318750 220.479859 NaN
2025-12-28 14.959812 19.602141 27.124876 42.479708 84.531961 363.399992 NaN
2026-01-04 14.344518 18.906143 26.395111 42.032160 87.111767 469.061378 NaN
2026-01-11 13.915108 18.474286 26.082797 42.438448 92.946239 748.167307 NaN
2026-01-18 13.649341 18.284826 26.179890 43.793560 103.505937 2188.650939 NaN
2026-01-25 13.259993 17.864393 25.809160 43.969114 109.652423 20219.193835 NaN
2026-02-01 12.707585 17.142459 24.817650 42.460822 107.274892 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 12.194000 16.462927 23.864679 40.939360 104.282220 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 11.982549 16.279403 23.838665 41.769516 113.837435 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 11.683060 15.930719 23.467391 41.644270 118.464117 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 11.361935 15.530389 22.968491 41.108835 120.490836 NaN NaN